Thị trường bất động sản 2018 dự đoán đạt đỉnh điểm

Theo như dự báo từ một số công ty nghiên cứu thị trường địa ốc trong và ngoài nước thì nguồn cung căn hộ năm 2018 có thể đạt khoảng 45.000-50.000 căn và lượng tiêu thụ tích cực đạt mức 35.000-40.000 căn. Bên cạnh đó, phân khúc căn hộ trung cấp hạng B, hạng C sẽ tiếp tục giữ tỉ lệ lớn và thu hút sự chú ý của chủ đầu tư và người mua. Thị trường bất động sản 2018 dự đoán đạt đỉnh điểm, hãy cùng tìm hiểu về vấn đề này qua bài đọc sau:

Nhìn lại thị trường bất động sản 2017

Nhận định chung về thị trường BĐS TP.HCM năm 2017, một số nhà phân tích cho rằng, năm vừa qua thì thị trường tiếp tục ghi nhận ổn định và tích cực ở tất cả các phân khúc. Bên cạnh đó, việc tham gia, giám sát chặt chẽ và kịp thời của nhà nước giúp thị trường ngày càng trở nên minh bạch hơn. Ta có thể thấy rằng đây là tín hiệu tích cực để phát triển một thị trường BĐS ổn định, bền vững và hạn chế nguy cơ bong bóng.

Theo đó, trong năm 2017 vừa qua, nguồn cung đất nền dồi dào, tăng mạnh so với năm 2016, tập trung chủ yếu tại khu Đông, đặc biệt là khu vực Quận 9 và một số quận vùng ven. Cụ thể trong năm 2017, phân khúc đất nền cung cấp ra thị trường khoảng 7.181 nền, gấp 2,2 lần so với năm trước. Giao dịch diễn ra vô cùng sôi nổi với tỷ lệ tiêu thụ ấn tượng, con số lên tới 95% (6.851 nền) tăng khoảng 4 lần so với năm 2016.

Theo như thông tin thị trường bất động sản ghi nhận cho thấy, đa số các dự án đất nền mới đưa ra thị trường đều tiêu thụ chỉ trong thời gian ngắn. Thị trường đất nền phân lô ở các khu vực giáp ranh với TP.HCM tiếp tục sôi động và nhận được nhiều sự chú ý của khách đầu tư. Các chuyên gia đánh giá tình hình bất động sản hiện nay đang phát triển vượt bật.

Thực trạng bất động sản ba tháng đầu năm 2018

Phân khúc nhà phố/ biệt thự ghi nhận có lượng nguồn cung ổn định, mô hình này cung cấp ra thị trường khoảng 2.946 căn bằng 96% so với năm 2016 và tập trung chủ yếu ở Khu Đông. Tuy nhiên, do giá bán đã được đẩy lên khá cao cho nên trong năm nay, phân khúc này ghi nhận sẽ có sự sụt giảm về tỷ lệ tiêu thụ đạt khoảng 67% (1.985 căn).

Còn nguồn cung thị trường căn hộ tiếp tục dồi dào, cung cấp ra thị trường khoảng 41.388 căn. Trong đó, thì dòng sản phẩm căn hộ hạng B và hạng C là phân khúc chủ đạo của thị trường khi chiếm đến 78% tổng lượng nguồn cung. Trái ngược so với sự độc chiếm của khu Đông trong mấy năm trước, thị trường bất động sản 2018 đã có sự “đảo chiều” khi khu Tây vượt lên chiếm đến 43%, dẫn đầu nguồn cung toàn thị trường.

Tỷ lệ tiêu thụ toàn thị trường khá ấn tượng, lên đến 88% của nguồn cung mới. Trong đó, căn hộ hạng B có tỉ lệ hấp thụ cao nhất, lên tới 92%. Cùng với những khảo sát về nhu cầu khách mua, điều này cho thấy thực tế nhu cầu và mức sống của người dân tại TP.HCM đang được nâng cao hơn, yêu cầu chất lượng tốt hơn. Như vậy, thị trường bất động sản 2018 phải mới, phải độc mới đáp ứng được nhu cầu cần của cư dân.

Thị trường bất động sản nghỉ dưỡng trong năm 2018 sẽ ra sao

Sau một năm phát triển sôi động thì đến 2017, các chuyên gia nhìn nhận thị trường BĐS nghỉ dưỡng ghi nhận đã có dấu hiệu giảm nhiệt và đặc biệt ở thị trường condotel. Trong năm 2017, phân khúc condotel cung cấp ra thị trường khoảng 14.741 căn condotel, con số này tăng 12% so với năm 2016 song mức tiêu thụ chỉ đạt khoảng 33% nguồn cung mới (khoảng 4.821 căn), bằng 55% so với năm 2016 (8.726 căn).

Theo như công ty DKRA, đang có những lo ngại về tình trạng dư thừa nguồn cung. Nguyên nhân được cho ở đây đó là nhà đầu tư đang quan ngại về sự thực hiện các chính sách cam kết lợi nhuận và những trông đợi thay đổi pháp lý về mặt quyền sở hữu đối với phân khúc mô hình condotel. Mặc dù vậy, các dự án có chất lượng vượt trội của các Chủ đầu tư có danh tiếng như Vingroup, Sungroup thì sức tiêu thụ vẫn đang rất tích cực.

Theo như một chuyên gia nghiên cứu cho biết: “Năm 2018 có thể sẽ là năm thách thức của thị trường BĐS nghỉ dưỡng ở một số thị trường như Nha Trang, Đà Nẵng với lượng nguồn cung khá lớn và còn tiếp tục gia tăng. Và nguồn cung condotel năm 2018 tiếp tục tăng và đạt mốc 15.000-20.000 căn. Nguồn cung biệt thự nghỉ dưỡng ổn định ở mức 1.500-2.000 căn”,

Như vậy, thị trường bất động sản 2018 mô hình nghỉ dưỡng vẫn tiếp tục sôi động trong năm nay.

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